South Alabama
Sun Belt
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.6#157
Expected Predictive Rating+2.1#136
Pace63.8#304
Improvement+2.3#92

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#140
First Shot+2.0#114
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#213
Layup/Dunks+2.9#64
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#52
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.8#337
Freethrows+2.4#27
Improvement-2.4#291

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#205
First Shot-0.8#200
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#197
Layups/Dunks+1.7#105
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#3
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.5#352
Freethrows+2.0#45
Improvement+4.7#12
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 01 - 2
Quad 38 - 69 - 8
Quad 48 - 317 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 267   Southern Miss W 75-69 82%     1 - 0 -3.0 +2.7 -5.5
  Nov 12, 2019 33   Auburn L 69-70 23%     1 - 1 +7.5 +5.8 +1.6
  Nov 15, 2019 143   @ Chattanooga L 72-90 35%     1 - 2 -13.5 -0.7 -12.9
  Nov 25, 2019 147   Northeastern W 74-62 47%     2 - 2 +13.4 +3.5 +10.3
  Nov 26, 2019 213   Miami (OH) W 82-71 63%     3 - 2 +8.3 +11.0 -2.1
  Nov 27, 2019 180   La Salle L 76-81 OT 55%     3 - 3 -5.7 -3.0 -2.2
  Dec 08, 2019 52   @ Richmond L 57-75 14%     3 - 4 -5.8 -7.6 +1.1
  Dec 17, 2019 344   Alabama A&M W 89-79 95%     4 - 4 -8.3 +1.3 -10.7
  Dec 19, 2019 182   Appalachian St. L 71-81 67%     4 - 5 0 - 1 -13.8 +2.9 -17.5
  Dec 21, 2019 189   Coastal Carolina L 69-81 68%     4 - 6 0 - 2 -16.3 -11.3 -4.4
  Jan 02, 2020 219   @ Louisiana W 60-57 54%     5 - 6 1 - 2 +2.6 -2.8 +6.0
  Jan 04, 2020 247   @ Louisiana Monroe L 49-69 60%     5 - 7 1 - 3 -22.0 -14.3 -11.4
  Jan 06, 2020 137   @ Texas Arlington W 66-54 33%     6 - 7 2 - 3 +17.1 +0.9 +16.9
  Jan 09, 2020 212   Arkansas St. W 75-59 73%     7 - 7 3 - 3 +10.3 +8.4 +4.4
  Jan 11, 2020 134   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 52-43 32%     8 - 7 4 - 3 +14.4 -16.1 +31.1
  Jan 16, 2020 131   Georgia St. L 63-72 55%     8 - 8 4 - 4 -9.6 -10.6 +1.0
  Jan 18, 2020 132   Georgia Southern W 74-68 55%     9 - 8 5 - 4 +5.3 +6.7 -1.0
  Jan 23, 2020 212   @ Arkansas St. L 71-75 51%     9 - 9 5 - 5 -3.6 +2.0 -5.9
  Jan 25, 2020 134   Arkansas Little Rock L 71-73 55%     9 - 10 5 - 6 -2.7 +3.9 -6.8
  Jan 30, 2020 131   @ Georgia St. L 73-76 32%     9 - 11 5 - 7 +2.4 +1.4 +1.0
  Feb 01, 2020 132   @ Georgia Southern W 79-69 32%     10 - 11 6 - 7 +15.4 +6.1 +8.8
  Feb 07, 2020 292   @ Troy W 70-66 69%     11 - 11 7 - 7 -0.5 -2.0 +1.7
  Feb 13, 2020 219   Louisiana W 78-75 75%     12 - 11 8 - 7 -3.4 +1.1 -4.5
  Feb 15, 2020 247   Louisiana Monroe W 50-49 80%     13 - 11 9 - 7 -7.1 -18.6 +11.7
  Feb 20, 2020 182   @ Appalachian St. W 78-70 44%     14 - 11 10 - 7 +10.2 +15.1 -4.1
  Feb 22, 2020 189   @ Coastal Carolina W 74-71 46%     15 - 11 11 - 7 +4.7 -3.2 +7.8
  Feb 29, 2020 292   Troy W 78-63 85%     16 - 11 12 - 7 +4.5 +2.8 +2.1
  Mar 03, 2020 102   Texas St. W 58-54 45%     17 - 11 13 - 7 +5.8 +0.4 +6.4
Projected Record 17 - 11 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 100.0% 100.0
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%